An Assessment of Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclone Climatology and Future Changes

Download or read book An Assessment of Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclone Climatology and Future Changes written by Asuka Suzuki-Parker and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent elevated North Atlantic hurricane activity has generated considerable interests in the interaction between tropical cyclones (TCs) and climate change. The possible connection between TCs and the changing climate has been indicated by observational studies based on historical TC records; they indicate emerging trends in TC frequency and intensity in some TC basins, but the detection of trends has been hotly debated due to TC track data issues. Dynamical climate modeling has also been applied to the problem, but brings its own set of limitations owing to limited model resolution and uncertainties. : The final goal of this study is to project the future changes of North Atlantic TC behavior with global warming for the next 50 years using the Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM). Throughout the course of reaching this goal, various uncertainties and limitations in simulating TCs by the NRCM are identified and explored.