Price Discovery and Volatility Spillover in the Agricultural Commodity Futures Market in India

Download or read book Price Discovery and Volatility Spillover in the Agricultural Commodity Futures Market in India written by M Ajoy Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2002, when the government permitted futures trading on most of the commodities and allowed setting up of national level exchanges, trading in agricultural commodities grew very fast with soy oil, soy bean, mustard seed and chana constituting the major share in 2013. The current study attempts to analyze the price behavior in terms of returns as well as volatility between the spot and futures markets for these four commodities. The study uses a combination of VECM and EGARCH models to analyze the data. The study finds existence of long-term equilibrium relationship between the futures and spot prices, with the futures leading the spot. In the short run, futures returns seem to have a stronger impact on the spot returns in most of the commodities.