Streetlights and Shadows

Streetlights and Shadows
Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
Total Pages : 355
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9780262258340
ISBN-13 : 026225834X
Rating : 4/5 (34X Downloads)

Book Synopsis Streetlights and Shadows by : Gary A. Klein

Download or read book Streetlights and Shadows written by Gary A. Klein and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2011-09-30 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble—and why experience can’t be replaced by rules, procedures, or analytical methods In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines—gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete—but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples—ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O’Brian’s Master and Commander novels—to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn’t. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything. “I know of no one who combines theory and observation—intellectual rigor and painstaking observation of the real world—so brilliantly and gracefully as Gary Klein.” —Malcolm Gladwell, author of Outliers and Blink


Streetlights and Shadows Related Books

Streetlights and Shadows
Language: en
Pages: 355
Authors: Gary A. Klein
Categories: Business & Economics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2011-09-30 - Publisher: MIT Press

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

An expert explains how the conventional wisdom about decision making can get us into trouble—and why experience can’t be replaced by rules, procedures, or a
Street Design Manual
Language: en
Pages:
Authors: New York (N.Y.). Department of Transportation
Categories: City planning
Type: BOOK - Published: - Publisher:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The New York City Street Design Manual provides policies and design guidelines to city agencies, design professionals, private developers, and community groups
Streetlight People
Language: en
Pages: 321
Authors: Charlene Thomas
Categories: Young Adult Fiction
Type: BOOK - Published: 2024-11-05 - Publisher: Penguin

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

A little bit Twin Peaks, a little bit Black Mirror, Streetlight People is a story of growing up in—and out of—a small town with a huge secret. For most, Str
Sliders
Language: en
Pages: 194
Authors: Hilary Evans
Categories: Body, Mind & Spirit
Type: BOOK - Published: 2010 - Publisher:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

How Do They Do That? A young man of Dublin walks past a row of streetlights at night--and they go out, one by one, as he passes. An engineer in Woodville, Washi
Central Electric Light and Power Stations and Street and Electrical Railways
Language: en
Pages: 484
Authors: United States. Bureau of the Census
Categories: Electric light plants
Type: BOOK - Published: 1915 - Publisher:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK