This paper examines determinants and leading indicators of banking crises. The paper examines episodes of banking system distress and crisis in a large sample o

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two o

This economic journal contains theoretical and empirical analyses of varous macroeconomic issues. The studies are prepapred by IMF research staff or consultants

This paper discusses the causes of the imbalance of international payments. Under the forces of supply and demand, gold came to have a certain value in relation

Selections from this paper were delivered at the Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Association, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on September 8, 1965.