International Tax Spillovers and Tangible Investment, with Implications for the Global Minimum Tax

Download or read book International Tax Spillovers and Tangible Investment, with Implications for the Global Minimum Tax written by Mr. Michael Keen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-08-04 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper articulates and, using newly-assembled data, explores how international taxation affects aggregate tangible cross-border investment. Spillovers from statutory tax rates abroad seem: As sizable as effects from the host’s rate; larger than previous consensus values (attributed to a systematic bias from FDI data); and consistent with ‘implicit’ profit shifting through real investment (rather than ‘paper’ profit shifting). Contrary to much policy discussion, the results also imply that: Host countries’ marginal effective tax rates have at best a weak effect on real investment; those elsewhere have none; and, applied to the prospective global minimum tax, inward tangible investment in most sample countries will increase.