Models of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation

Download or read book Models of Inflation and the Costs of Disinflation written by Mr.Bankim Chadha and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-10-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on the output costs of disinflation. A model of inflation with both forward and backward elements seems to characterize reality. Such an inflation model is estimated using data for industrial countries, and the output costs of a disinflation path are calculated, first analytically in a simple theoretical model, then by simulation of a global, multi-region empirical model. The credibility of a preannounced path for money consistent with the lowest output loss is considered. An alternative, more credible policy may be to announce an exchange rate peg to a low inflation currency.